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Relative risk reduction

  • Measure

What share of the original risk a treatment removes; it always sounds bigger than the absolute reduction.

Updated

What it is

The relative risk reduction (RRR) expresses the absolute reduction as a fraction of the control group's risk. It equals 1 minus the relative risk. It stays fairly stable across populations with different baseline risk, which is why trials often report it, but it can impress: an RRR of 50% may mean going from 2 to 1 per 1,000. Always read it next to the absolute reduction.

Formula and reading

  • RRR = 1 − RR, with RR = EER / CER.
  • RRR = 0: no effect; positive RRR: treatment lowers risk; negative: it raises it.
  • To get back to absolute terms: ARR = RRR × CER.

Worked example

  1. Data: a drug is tested in two populations. A: control risk 20%, treated 15%. B: control risk 0.8%, treated 0.6%.
  2. A: RR = 15 / 20 = 0.75, RRR = 1 − 0.75 = 25%; ARR = 20 − 15 = 5 points.
  3. B: RR = 0.6 / 0.8 = 0.75, RRR = 25%; ARR = 0.8 − 0.6 = 0.2 points.
  4. NNT A = 1 / 0.05 = 20; NNT B = 1 / 0.002 = 500.
  5. Reading: the same 25% RRR means treating 20 people per event prevented in A and 500 in B.

Absolute versus relative

MeasureFormulaDepends on baseline riskWhat it answers
Absolute reduction (ARR)CER − EERYesHow many events do I prevent per 100?
Relative reduction (RRR)(CER − EER) / CERLittleWhat fraction of the risk do I remove?
NNT1 / ARRYesHow many must I treat to prevent one?

Markers

  • RRR
  • 1 − RR

How to read it

  • A claim that something halves the risk needs the baseline risk to judge how much it matters.
  • For vaccines, vaccine efficacy is an RRR: 1 − (risk in the vaccinated / risk in the unvaccinated).

Common pitfalls

  • Using the RRR instead of the ARR when calculating the NNT.
  • Comparing treatments by their RRR without looking at each study's baseline risk.

Test yourself

Think of the answer, then tap the question to see it.

A trial reports RR = 0.60. What is the RRR?

RRR = 1 − 0.60 = 0.40, that is 40%.

Control risk is 10% and the RRR is 30%. What is the ARR?

ARR = 0.30 × 10% = 3 percentage points.

Why can the RRR give an exaggerated impression of benefit?

It hides the baseline risk: 50% less may mean going from 2 to 1 per 1,000.

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Connections

← All of epidemiology

Educational content on epidemiological and statistical methods; the examples use made-up numbers to teach the calculation. Not a clinical or legal guide: current Colombian rules are in the official sources.

Sources: Chapter 15: Interpreting results and drawing conclusions (Cochrane, 2024); Principles of Epidemiology | Lesson 3 - Section 6 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2012).

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Representative model, for educational purposes only.